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Tuesday, 28 July 2026

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Brazil eases spending curb despite revenue shortfall from dividend tax

BRASILIA, July 24 (Reuters) – The Brazilian government on Friday reduced by 5.7 billion reais ($1.12 billion) a spending curb needed to comply with its fiscal framework ​due to lower than expected mandatory expenditures despite a ‌shortfall in revenue from dividend taxes.

In its bimonthly revenue and expenditure report, the finance and planning ministries revised downward projections for personnel, pension and social benefits outlays and lowered the amount of blocked spending to 17.9 billion reais.

The ‌government ​projected 28 billion reais in revenue ⁠this year from taxes on ⁠dividend income, but the tax service estimated on Friday it would only reach 17.2 billion reais.

Planning and Budget Minister Bruno Moretti told journalists the government decided not to incorporate the ​shortfall in revenues into the report as it wants to gather more data on the issue.

Moretti added the government is ⁠comfortable that the current outlook will ⁠allow it to meet its fiscal target range.

The government also estimated a primary budget deficit ​of 52 billion reais this year, compared with a ‌60.3 billion reais shortfall seen in May.

The projected primary deficit corresponds to 0.38% of gross domestic product (GDP), versus a full-year target of 0.25% of GDP primary surplus.

Under Brazil’s budget rules, however, the ⁠government can exclude certain expenditures, most notably part of its large stock of court-ordered payments, when measuring compliance with the fiscal target.

After ⁠these adjustments, the government ‌now expects to post a primary surplus ⁠of 10.8 billion reais, up from a prior ​estimate ‌of 4.1 billion reais. The surplus, equivalent to ​a 0.08% ⁠of GDP, is consistent with the fiscal goal, which allows a tolerance band of 0.25% of GDP in either direction.

(Reporting by Bernardo Caram in Brasilia; additional reporting and writing by Andre Romani in Sao Paulo; editing by Chris Reese, Natalia Siniawski ​and Cynthia Osterman)