Christopher Wong notes that Korean Won strength remains largely flow-driven, with USD/KRW dropping below 1,500 on offshore fund repatriation and official vigilance. While bearish momentum persists, Wong expects the pull…
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term. The analyst reiterates that a close above 6.8080 …
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending July 4. The latest pr…
DBS Group Research economist Sherilyn Chew notes that renewed geopolitical risk has lifted yields across Asia, but sees Indian G-Secs as offering a tactical opportunity. She argues the India sell-off is mainly macro rep…
Christopher Wong highlights that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has strengthened after a hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate hike, but higher Oil prices are capping gains. With the RBNZ starting a tightening c…
Chinese investors sharply trimmed their Gold ETF holdings in June, exacerbating global outflows for the month, as local investor risk appetite continued to improve amid equity market gains and a weaker Gold price, data …
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister observes that markets expect substantial tightening by Banxico over the next year, but he questions whether conditions justify 75 basis points of hikes. With Mexican inflation near 3.5–4% a…
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Oil is back in focus as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz nears a standstill and ceasefire risks rise. iFlow data show energy equities flows stabilizing after June profit-taking, with …
ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that the Federal Reserve’s June minutes confirmed a more hawkish stance despite an unchanged policy rate. They highlight that nine officials pencilled in higher…
DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow warns that shorter-term Singapore Dollar (SGD) rates may face upside pressure despite recent flush liquidity. He notes SGD rates have decoupled from USD rates, with spreads stret…
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon highlights that Czech National Bank policy expectations have risen alongside the ECB, yet the Czech Koruna is sliding on a nominal effective basis. He argues that closely matching Eurozone tighten…
The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks. The discussions show a consensus …
ABN AMRO’s Rogier Quaedvlieg highlights that US labour-market conditions are weaker than headline unemployment suggests, as rapidly declining participation is holding the rate down. He notes that payroll growth has slow…
The British Pound (GBP) is pulling lower against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, after hitting a fresh all-time high at 218.01 earlier on the day. The pair has returned to the mid-range of the 217.00s at the time of…
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring uncha…
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $59.17 per troy ounce, up 1.45% from the $58.32 it cost on Wednesday.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades lower on Thursday and hovers around $73.10 at the time of writing, down 1.95% on the day as investors take profits following two consecutive days of strong gains. Despite the pullbac…
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its bid tone above the $4,100 mark through the first half of the European session on Thursday and looks to build on the previous day's bounce from a one-week low. The US Dollar (USD) remains on …
Chris Turner at ING highlights that EUR/USD has held up despite higher Oil, as Euro swap rates outperformed US rates on expectations of an ECB hike in September. However, he argues the Fed narrative will dominate, with …
Thu Lan Nguyen at Commerzbank notes that EUR/USD has traded in a narrow range and appears largely unaffected by Iran-related headlines, as the correlation with Oil has weakened. She highlights that markets now price Fed…
Dow Jones futures gain 0.17% to trade around 52,710 during European trading hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.34% and 0.74%, trading near 7,550 and 29,690, respectively.
TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable. Some participants sa…
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yiel…
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil has extended its rally as renewed US-Iran tensions threaten the fragile ceasefire and disrupt flows through the Strait of Hormuz. ICE Brent has moved above $78…