United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to edge lower intraday but stay confined to a narrow 6.6890–6.6960 range, with a clear break below 6.6890 seen as unlikely. Over one t…
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that intervention risks and a more hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) are key for the Japanese Yen (JPY). They see faster BoJ policy tightening gradually supporting JPY…
Deutsche Bank Research’s UK economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan have shifted their BoE base case from no hikes to two 25bp moves, in November and February. They argue Bank Rate is already restrictive, inflation is l…
AUD/USD trims part of its earlier losses on Tuesday as traders assess fresh diplomatic signals surrounding the war between the United States (US) and Iran, weighing on the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a hawkish Reserve B…
Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise the cash rate to 4.60% at its 29 September meeting, revising a previous call for a hold. Chia cites recent RBA messaging focuse…
Amid reports of Japan’s current account surplus hitting record highs and international investors losing confidence in the US dollar, the story would seem straightforward: as the dollar falters, the yen should be soaring…
Financial markets adopt a cautious stance early Tuesday amid mounting geopolitical uncertainty. The European economic calendar will feature preliminary Consumer Confidence Index data for September. Meanwhile, investors …
Short-term fair value has slipped below 1.150 for the first time since late July, while the two-year SOFR ESTR spread has widened back toward 150bp, also around levels last seen in July. Interestingly, oil now carries o…
Transport and logistics companies are grappling with rising costs and supply chain disruption. Meanwhile, a growing trade imbalance with China is creating new challenges across Europe's logistics network
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar started the week strongly despite lower Oil prices and firmer global equities, helped by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials Austan Goolsbee and Alberto Musalem that su…
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight a strong risk-on session in US equities, with the S&P 500 up over 1% and back in positive territory for September, sitting less than half a percent below its all-time high. Tech leade…
Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates on Tuesday as traders weigh fresh Middle East headlines while the broader geopolitical backdrop remains tense. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,334 after rebounding from an in…
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes EUR/GBP has held a tight 0.855–0.860 range since early September after a Bank of England (BoE) meeting that did not strongly challenge aggressive market tightening expectations. ING economis…
The USD/CAD pair extends its consolidative price move through the early European session on Tuesday, trading below 1.4050, or the highest since August 6, amid mixed fundamental cues.
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers following a modest Asian session uptick on Tuesday and slides below $4,350 in the last hour, though the downside seems limited. The US Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook is seen…
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said in a statement released during the Asian trading session on Tuesday that supply shocks are difficult for monetary policy to deal with. Bullock added, “Policy…
John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be. He expects one more rate hike in…
NZD/USD extends its losing streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5700 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency pair is facing downward pressure as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens following s…
EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third consecutive day, trading around 180.60 during Asian hours on Tuesday. Technical analysis of the daily chart shows the currency cross remaining within a descending channel, suggest…
The GBP/USD pair consolidates above mid-1.3300s during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains within striking distance of its lowest level since July 30, touched last week. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems til…
GBP/USD has stalled at 1.3400 in each of the last three sessions, and it trades just under that level again on Monday. The Dollar is up against most major currencies, so this is more a Dollar move than a Pound one. Trad…
Gold price (XAU/USD) declines to near $4,365, snapping the two-day winning streak during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal loses ground on the prospect of further monetary tightening by the US Feder…
The AUD/USD pair gains ground to near 0.7120 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) following Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Mic…