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Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and s…
WTI Oil drops more than 7% as US, Iran pause strikes
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil extends its decline on Monday, trading around $82.60 per barrel at the time of writing, down 7.4% on the day. Crude Oil opened the week with a sharp bearish gap after the United Stat…
Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions. He argues the easing cycle suggests politi…
US Dollar: Fed uncertainty tempers USD strength – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar has softened as Middle East tensions ease and Brent Oil retreats below USD90, reducing energy-driven inflation fears. The correction in energy prices has slightly lowered market-im…
Gold struggles below $4,100 as US Dollar rebounds, Fed decision looms
Gold (XAU/USD) opens the week with a bullish gap on Monday but struggles to build on its early advance as optimism over a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran fades and Oil prices recover f…
CEE FX: Softer geopolitics aids high beta – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices. Taborsky argues th…
Brent: Market weighs de-escalation signals – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has retreated sharply, briefly dropping below US$90/bbl as the US and Iran paused further strikes. They stress that disruptions in Russia and the Red Sea con…
Euro: Recovery signals offer limited upside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Eurozone leading indicators, including Germany’s IFO, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and ZEW, point to improving activity. With inflation still above target, Had…
United States Durable Goods Orders rise 0.3% in June vs. 1.6% expected
New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May …
British Pound loses ground against Japanese Yen ahead of central bank decisions
GBP/JPY edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) weakens across the board following its recent advance, with traders trimming exposure ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest-rate decision on Thursday. At …
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD is looking for direction around $4,100
Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating gains during the European trading session, following a bullish gap at the week’s opening as a moderate improvement of risk sentiment hurt the safe-haven USD. A pause in the US-Iran …
US Dollar: Fed communication key for path – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that markets have repriced the risk of a July Fed hike higher after Oil-driven inflation worries, but still expect no move. A hawkish hold would keep the US Dollar (US…
Oil: Lower prices ease inflation risks – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that easing Oil prices, helped by reduced Iran–US tensions, are bringing crude closer to their base case of a gradual downtrend. They argue lower Oil should relieve inflati…
Japanese Yen: BoJ guidance and Fed surprise risk steer the yen – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that lower energy prices have eased pressure on Japanese policymakers and slowed USD/JPY’s climb below 164.00. Markets expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep rates unchanged but are focused…
Indian Rupee recovers further due to lower oil prices, US Dollar
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week. The USD/INR pair falls further to near 96.10 as the pause in military aggression …
ECB’s Žigman: Central bank is committed to ensure inflation stable around 2%
The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of Croatia's central bank, Ante Žigman, in an interview with Jutarnji List, released during the European trading session on Monday, sign…
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Eases to 163.50 with the broader bullish trend intact
The Japanese Yen (JPY) pares recent losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, favoured by a relief rally, as the US and Iran halted their hostilities, opening the door for further negotiations. The USD/JPY pair has …
Japanese Yen: Hawkish shift needed to aid JPY against US Dollar – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, but stresses that markets need a clearer tightening signal as the Japanese Yen trades near multi-decade lows. Rising fiscal c…
WTI drops to near $82.50 as US, Iran pause strikes for potential diplomacy
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price opened at a bearish gap, down by over 7%, trading around $82.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday. Crude oil prices declined after the United States (US) and Iran paused…
Indonesian Rupiah weakens as Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo resigns
USD/IDR has recovered its losses from the previous trading day, hovering around 18,050 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces pressure following the surprise resignat…
Canadian Dollar advances as easing risk aversion lifts US Dollar
USD/CAD depreciates after posting minor gains in the previous trading day, hovering around 1.4080 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) falls sharply on easing geopolitical tensi…
Japanese Yen gains as oil prices fall after US-Iran strike pause
USD/JPY remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 163.60 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) receives support from lower oil prices after the United State…
New Zealand Dollar bulls seem hesitant; downside seems limited amid weak USD
The NZD/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note amid a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), though it struggles to capitalize on gains beyond the 0.5800 mark.