Gold (XAU/USD) extends losses below $4,100 on Thursday, falling more than 2% as energy-driven inflation concerns from Middle East tensions reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain elevated longer. At the t…
Danske Research Team notes that Japan’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) and October flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data are due overnight, following recent Tokyo inflation figures that signaled stronger cor…
The Indian Rupee (INR) fails to extend its winning streak for the eighth trading day against the US Dollar (USD). The USD/INR pair rebounds sharply to near 94.91 after attracting signfiicant bids at around the seven-wee…
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $55.94 per troy ounce, down 3.52% from the $57.98 it cost on Wednesday.
The British Pound (GBP) keeps heading higher against a weaker US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as markets brace for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy next week, while in the UK the conditions are set for a Bank of England (BoE) …
The USD/JPY pair holds steady above the 158.00 mark during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its consolidative price action witnessed since the beginning of this month amid a combination of diverging forces. Trad…
USD/CAD extends its losing streak for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 1.4040 during Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair experienced downward pressure as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gained…
The GBP/USD pair enters a bullish consolidation phase during the Asian session on Thursday, trading just below the 1.3400 mark and near its highest level since September 16, touched earlier this week. Meanwhile, the fun…
Stats NZ's third-quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes at 21:45 GMT on Wednesday, with NZD/USD just under its 50-day average and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) deciding on October 28. The pair trades just abo…
Commerzbank’s Lay and Hao highlight Taiwan’s record export orders driven by AI-related ICT and electronics, supporting a robust export-led expansion into Q4. The Central Bank of the Republic of China sees a sustained te…
Standard Chartered’s Dan Pan expects Banco de la República to deliver a final 25bps rate hike at the 30 October meeting, citing a positive output gap, high Oil prices and El Niño-related inflation risks. Pan notes susta…
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman reports that Bank Indonesia left its policy rate unchanged at 5.75% for a fourth meeting, even as IDR weakened slightly following MSCI’s downgrade consultation. BI expects the cur…
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes stabilising global risk sentiment but highlights growing concerns over sustainability of the AI trade and its spillover to FX markets. He expects 2027 to be more challenging for risk assets, wit…
Geoff Yu highlights that Polish bonds are under-owned compared with Hungarian paper, with holdings having halved as Eurozone steepening and fiscal risks weighed on performance. He argues that potential fiscal reform and…
The Mexican Peso (MXN) weakened for the second straight day on Wednesday, down more than 1.49% against the US Dollar (USD), as the US-Iran conflict continues to underpin Oil prices and increases the chances that the Fed…
Nomura’s UK budget preview expects Chancellor Healey, at his first budget on 28 October, to allow fiscal headroom to fall to around £15bn. Following September public finance data, the cash deficit is no longer surprisin…
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team outlines US political tail risks ahead of the 3 November midterm elections. Early voting is underway in over 40 states and prediction markets still favor Democrats retaining control of…
Silver (XAG/USD) declines on Wednesday, trading around $57.50, down 0.89% at the time of writing. The precious metal remains under pressure as rising United States (US) Treasury yields and a modest recovery in the US Do…
We have published new scenarios for oil and gas prices based on recent developments in the Gulf. Here, we discuss the implications for interest rates and FX. Our baseline continues to assume rate cuts by the Fed and no …
ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England (BoE) to raise interest rates in November and February as a precaution against second-round inflation effects, even as evidence of broader spillovers from higher energy pric…
Deutsche Bank anticipates around 25–30 policy measures in the Autumn Budget, with modest consolidation and backloaded tax increases. A higher bank surcharge, online marketplace VAT collection and dividend tax hikes are …
James Smith at ING highlights that UK inflation pressures remain concentrated in energy, with food and services inflation surprisingly subdued. Headline inflation printed 3.5% in September and is expected to peak near 4…
France’s ballooning debt, coupled with social unrest getting out of control, is posing a perfect storm in the bond market, and boosting the yield of the 10-year Obligation Assimilable du Trésor (OAT) to levels above 5% …
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that political and rating risks in France, plus cautious European Central Bank (ECB) expectations, weigh on the Euro (EUR) but are largely priced in. Markets now see an ECB hike …